Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Édouard Philippe
$1.5K Volume
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
$3.2K Volume
Other
$111.61 Volume
Gabriel Attal
$1.5K Volume
François Hollande
$4.2K Volume
Jordan Bardella
$17K Volume
Raphaël Glucksmann
$637.70 Volume
Dominique de Villepin
$1.1K Volume
Bernard Cazeneuve
$250.92 Volume
Fabien Roussel
$1.1K Volume
Éric Zemmour
$631.31 Volume
Mathilde Panot
$828.59 Volume
Sébastien Lecornu
$77.50 Volume
Olivier Faure
$128.90 Volume
Laurent Wauquiez
$57.67 Volume
Bruno Retailleau
$1.8K Volume
David Lisnard
$2.3K Volume
Yaël Braun-Pivet
$2.0K Volume
François Bayrou
$11.59 Volume
Élisabeth Borne
$3.2K Volume
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
$602.38 Volume
François Ruffin
$4.7K Volume
Michel Barnier
$981.10 Volume
Manuel Bompard
$1.8K Volume
Sarah Knafo
$2.6K Volume
François Asselineau
$1.7K Volume
Juan Branco
$1.1K Volume
Gérald Darmanin
$1.0K Volume
Ségolène Royal
$2.9K Volume
Xavier Bertrand
$1.5K Volume
Marine Tondelier
$2.8K Volume
Clémence Guetté
$1.6K Volume
Clémentine Autain
$1.5K Volume
Valérie Pécresse
$1.3K Volume
Jean Castex
$1.2K Volume
Carole Delga
$1.1K Volume
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
- Resolver: official source.
- Deadline: closing date in UTC.
- Disputed outcomes: handled by moderators within 48 hours.

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